Drew Brees and His Contract

Rarely does a player personify his team’s city so completely as Drew Brees does.  He’s intertwined with New Orleans till he retires.  Ironic for a guy who played a lot of his career in San Diego, but maybe that’s what makes him so definably New Orleans.

Drew Brees is resilient, talented and unafraid to say how he feels.  Even if he frustrates you at times, he’s so damn affable that it’s hard to stay angry with him.  Behind closed doors, he helps those in need, so the news that Drew Brees signed a 5-year, $100 million deal with Saints should come as no surprise.

Even with Brees claiming he’d skip training camp if he didn’t get his contract, you knew he’d be back.  For the city that’s been through so many ups and downs, he’s a comforting consistent, and consistent is what the Saints need right now.  After the bounty scandal, theiir one time sympathetic image is wiped clean.  Now, it’s all about what they’ve done recently.  Without Sean Payton as their coach this season, Brees is the true leader.  He always had that coach vibe to him that some quarterbacks just attain.  So even though saying $100 million out loud seems outrageous, he deserves every penny.  He truly is the only chance the Saints have at repairing their image, and for New Orleans, Brees is the perfect guy to do it.  He didn’t roll over and tediously apologize for bounty gate, instead he defended his teammates and coach.  Even though there isn’t much to defend, Brees established that he wasn’t just the nice guy, he had an edge New Orleans prides itself on.  So congratulations to Drew Brees, the good guys won this one.

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2012 Fantasy Football: Top 10 Bounce Back Candidates

Chris Johnson Ten | RB

Last season was a nightmare for Chris Johnson as his contract dispute hampered him for much of the beginning of the season and as the season progressed became less of a focal point of the offense. CJ2K did not show the burst and 4.3 speed that has made him a dynamic and elusive back that is capable of hitting the homerun on any play. With the succession to the QB throne soon to be Jake Locker’s, it’s fully expected that a strong running game and balanced attack will be present to aid the young QB this season at some point. CJ is primed for a bounce back season as he takes aim to prove last season was an aberration and bring the Titans back into viable contention in the AFC South.

Michael Vick Phi | QB

Michael Vick is the most dynamic and versatile player in fantasy football. His mobility in the pocket makes him a potential highlight reel to put up RB type numbers but also a huge fantasy risk. Andy Reid has a team in the Eagles that are capable of making a legitimate playoff run. Vick’s health is a certain priority so expect Vick to think pass first to keep his body healthy for the long season ahead. With the continued emergence of LeSean McCoy as an elite RB and with DeSean Jackson back in the fold Vick has many weapons to spread the ball around in an Eagles offense that seems likely to breakout in a big way this season.

Miles Austin Dal | WR

The Cowboys soft spoken and often overlooked wide out had a very mediocre and injury plagued campaign last year. Along with Jason Witten he is one of Tony Romo’s favorite targets and often is able to beat CBs deep at least twice a game for big time plays. With added pressure of another missed opportunity at the post-season in Big D it seems like if the Cowboys plan to open up the offense under Coach Garrett. Expect Miles Austin will receive less double coverage with the emergence of Dez Bryant opposite him as well.

DeSean Jackson Phi | WR

Getting paid never felt so good for this tumultuous Eagles wide receiver. In a heated and largely publicized contract dispute for much of last season, DeSean drew criticism for being disinterested and lost in an Eagles offense that failed to live up to high expectations. Jackson has been a workout warrior since re-signing with Philly and building back chemistry with Michael Vick. As Philly’s most dangerous offensive weapon at the WR position, there is no doubt that DeSean will be more productive this season. It is possible that he may lose red zone looks to LeSean McCoy, but fully expect a bounce back effort nonetheless as he looks to revitalize the Eagles offense and hook up with Vick often as they prepare to reach lofty preseason goals.

Randy Moss SF | WR

What a difference a year makes. Last season Randy Moss was enjoying an early retirement from football after burning out towards the end of the trading carousel in 2010 that found him an invisible part of the Patriots, Vikings and Titans offense. To think that Randy Moss would be interested in anything other than a run at a championship is foolishness. Teamed up with Alex Smith, who showed dramatic improvement last season, and alongside a premier Tight End in Vernon Davis, matched with a staunch run-attack in a weak division, Moss will have plenty of opportunities for fantasy success. The key will be to keep Moss healthy and for Smith to keep attacking downfield. The offense tends to be more ball controlled but with a burner like Moss it is tough to not see him take flight in San Fran this season.

LeGarrett Blount TB | RB

This workhorse was not as big a disappointment as some might have expected given his team was a complete disaster on the field in 2011. Blount returns from a season in which he completely disappeared in some weeks when Tampa Bay fell behind early and had to play catch up. The real bounce back potential lies in his ability to hang on to the football as at times he has had a history of fumbling. If he is able to remedy that then he should be set up for more goal line carries. Having a playmaker like Vincent Jackson should take more defenses off the line of scrimmage and open up more holes for him. This season appears to be promising if Tampa Bay can improve its offense efficiency and Josh Freeman takes strides in returning to his 2010 form.

Jamaal Charles KC | RB

Charles is an absolute game breaker. That is exactly what Jamaal Charles adds to the Kansas City Chiefs, his ability to break a game open with his electrifying speed and vision. Charles suffered an injury last season, much to the chagrin of fantasy owners. Fully expect that he will come back stronger from that injury. As the main tailback in a ball controlled offense with rather weak competition within the division, he should be primed to return to the production he is capable of in 2012.

Brandon Lloyd NE | WR

Brandon Lloyd was an absolute fantasy stud with Denver Broncos when Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels worked with him. Now reunited with the New England Patriots, expect that return to relevance with Tom Brady at the helm in New England as the #2 primary target to Wes Welker in an explosive offense. Brandon Lloyd was somewhat hampered by a beat up Rams team and injured QB Sam Bradford last season. Lloyd is capable of putting up huge numbers on any night and with Tom Brady as QB it only takes a tiny bit of separation for Lloyd to get the necessary targets and have a bounce back type season.

Brandon Marshall Chi | WR

Sometimes a change of surroundings is all it takes. Brandon Marshall will be re-united with Jay Cutler from his days in Denver as Chicago takes aim at the NFC North. The division is rather weak defensively and with Cutler’s gun-slinging mentality and Marshall’s speed and height should set up nicely for a break season for him in the windy city. Marshall is a fantasy owner’s dream in the red zone and when motivated can be very productive in the passing game. Expect results similar to those as he had in Denver with considerable more targets and TDs in 2012.

Chad Ochocinco Mia | WR

Rounding out the list is a wide receiver that is better known for his celebrations and boisterous attitude than his performance of late. Chad Ochocinco has dropped the act and appears from early indications in training camp to be back to his form of a few years ago with the Bengals. Miami does not have an established quarterback but Chad can be a reliable safety valve and target for an unproven QB and is destined to improve on his abysmal campaign in New England season. Motivation to return to elite status among WRs is one of the reasons Chad Ochocinco should be considered on the list of 2012 bounce back candidates this season.

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2012 Fantasy Football: NFL Deep Sleepers

It’s hard to win a fantasy league without making a few great late picks during the draft. Every year there are several players that get picked near the end of the draft and end up having huge fantasy value. Our experts give you a list of deep sleepers that you you may want to take a gamble on in the late rounds of your 2012 fantasy football draft.

Tim Tebow NYJ | QB

Tebow is the ultimate gamble this year, but I think it could pay off. Each website that runs fantasy football is a little different when it comes to position eligibility, but the potential for Tebow to get running back eligibility is very real for 2012. If that is the case and he ends up taking over the starting quarterback job at some point he could be a fantasy stud. There are a lot of question marks here, but he is going to go so late in most drafts I still consider him a low risk high reward player.

Austin Collie IND | WR

Collie didn’t have that great of a year last year, but with the arrival of Andrew Luck things are certainly looking up for the Colts offense. With Dallas Clark and Garcon both off the team, there should be more targets for Collie. The Colts will more than likely try to keep a lot of the routes fairly short for their rookie quarterback, and this should work perfectly for Collie who is more of a possession type receiver. I think he could be a great guy to target in PPR leagues, and I think he could even have value in standard leagues as well.

Alshon Jeffery CHI | WR

The Bears have had a lot of problems trying to find wide receivers that they can count on, that’s why they went out and got Brandon Marshall and drafted Jeffery in the second round. Jeffery might not start the year as the #2 guy for the Bears, but they drafted him for a reason and he will spend plenty of time on the field. We expect Marshall to get a lot of attention from the opposing defenses, so this should open things up for the rest of the Bears receivers.

Jermaine Gresham CIN | TE

The Bengals former first round pick is entering his third year in the league, and we are expecting big things. The Bengals offense was pretty solid last year, and as this young group gains experience they should only continue to get better. Gresham has breakout year written all over him, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he ends up being a top 5 tight end this year.

Jared Cook TEN | TE

Cook is a talented tight end, and if he can carry how he finished last year into 2012 he could be in line for a monster season. The tight end position is fairly deep this year, but if you miss out on the top guys I like the idea of waiting and trying to get Cook in the later rounds. The Titans have a lot of weapons on offense that are going to require the attention of opposing defenses, and that should make it pretty easy for Cook to get open.

Greg Little CLE | WR

All things considered for Little last year, he had an amazing rookie year. He played on one of the worst offenses in the league, and he was still able to grab 61 balls for over 700 yards. We expect the Browns to struggle again on the offensive side of the ball in 2012, but Little could be one of their bright spots. Little is a very talented young receiver that is worth a look in the later rounds, and we see no reason why he can’t improve on his numbers from a year ago.

Brandon LaFell CAR | WR

The Panthers have been searching for a solid number two receiver for years, and I think they have finally found him. LaFell is entering his 3rd year in the league, and we see no reason why his numbers will not continue to be on the rise. Even if Steve Smith stays healthy for the entire year I think LaFell could have a lot of big games, and potentially even flirt with over 1,000 receiving yards.

Titus Young DET | WR

The Lions offense was able to stay healthy for the most part last year, and they impressed a lot of people with how many points they were able to put on the board. Young is going to be a big part of that offense this year, and with Megatron getting so much attention Young should have no problem getting open. Burleson is still with the Lions, but we think Young should have no problem surpassing him this year as the second best receiver on that team.

Shane Vereen NE | RB

A lot of people forget that Vereen was drafted in front of Ridley in last years draft, and in our opinion has a bigger upside. It’s really hard to trust any of the New England running backs, but Vereen is going to go so late in drafts it makes him a low risk gamble. With Green-Ellis out of town this is going to open the door for guys like Vereen to get more carries, but only time will tell how the carries will be disrupted in New England.

Isaiah Pead STL | RB

Pead put up huge numbers in his last year with Cincinnati, and with an aging overworked Steven Jackson in front of him he could get a chance to show us what he can do. The Rams drafted Pead to eventually take over for Jackson, so they have faith in this young man to be able to handle the load. Even though he needs an injury from Jackson to have a lot of value, I still think he is well worth a roll of the dice as a late round gamble.

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Houdini’s Fantasy Football Handcuffs

Top 5 Handcuffs

There is always a lot of talk about handcuffs and the need to have them, so much so that teams will draft backup players and try to tell you how bad you need your stars backup and have to give him a starting player for the insurance.  I don’t believe the insurance is worth that much.  When it comes to these handcuffs most people assume I would be targeting the backup to players like Adrian Peterson, Ray Rice and Arian Foster, but I have a different way of looking at this.  The handcuff is really most important at the RB position and that is where all of my handcuffs are.  The difference for me is that I don’t believe in handcuffing players like Ray Rice and here is why.  Those players are great and put up monster stats and if he goes down the player who replaces him will not be able to produce like Ray Rice does in that offense.  So if I draft that handcuff he is going to be an average player at the position, if he gets a chance to play, versus getting a player that can be a flex player and starter on my team.  I like getting players that score points without needing an injury to get the time on the field.  This leads me to my handcuff strategy.

If you are not lucky enough to be one of the teams that get a stud running back, and since there are not that many there is a good chance of that, then you need to think about handcuffing like I do.  There are many running backs that are in the dreaded RBBC and those are the ones that most warrant the handcuff in my opinion.  When you have 2 backs in an offense that both touch the ball close to the same amount of time or a 60-40 split there is always a chance that the split goes the other way as the season moves on.  Having these handcuffs are more important because they are both good backs, but if one starts to fumble the other is going to see his carries increase in a big way.  If there is an injury there is no question as to who is taking over as the lead back.  That means if you have the handcuff on these guys you will score more points in the dreaded situation than the replacement of a Ray Rice or Adrian Peterson.  Without further ado here is the list.

Ahmad Bradshaw – David Wilson

Bradshaw looks like he could be in for a bigger year this year with Brandon Jacobs heading out of New York.  That is good news for Bradshaw, but the Giants are not sold on Bradshaw as he has had foot injury issues and that is not good for a running back.  Not to mention that in 2010 Bradshaw also put the ball on the carpet 7 times.  It would seem that everything is set for Bradshaw to be the guy, but with the talent on the offense of the Giants if Bradshaw stumbles Wilson will be given a great opportunity to step in.  Wilson was drafted in the first round which is not a round you draft someone in if you don’t expect them to be a starter in this league.  So if you do grab Bradshaw be sure to be looking to grab Wilson.

Matt Forte – Michael Bush

Matt Forte has proven that he is a very good fantasy running back, as he had pretty much been all the offense the Bears have had over the last 4 years.  This year the Bears have given Jay Cutler a lot more weapons in the offense with the addition of Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery and Michael Bush.  Bush is the real interesting piece in the deal.  Forte is looking for a long term contract and the team has placed the franchise tag on him, which he is not happy about.  He might potentially sit out of training camp, which is never a good thing for a player as that could increase the chance of an injury, usually a hamstring.  Michael Bush showed he can do a good job filling in as he did for Darren McFadden last year.  Forte is going to see a decreased workload and if he does come into camp late and gets injured you will be very happy if you grabbed Bush to back him up.

DeMarco Murray – Felix Jones

This handcuff would have been the opposite way around last year.  Murray exploded on the scene as a rookie by blowing up in weeks 7-10 rushing for 601 yards.  Murray was hampered by injuries at the beginning and the end of the season, but showed that he has the stuff to be a lead back in the NFL.  Although, due to his history of injuries, even if it is just one year, you have to be concerned that he is not going to be able to last for the full season, which is why Felix Jones should also be on your radar if you draft Murray.  Jones has been the epitome of a disappointment and is now relegated to a backup role.  Jones still wants to get the job back as it was his last year so you know he has the motivation.  If Murray does get nicked up you will want to have Felix Jones to plug in.

Darren McFadden – Mike Goodson

Well Run DMC showed last year that he can flat out dominate when healthy.  The only problem is he is usually not healthy.  Last year the injury bug hit McFadden hard after he was off to a great start and then Michael Bush stepped in and made a name for himself in McFadden’s absence.  Bush has moved on to the Bears and left behind McFadden are Taiwan Jones and Mike Goodson who was acquired from the Panthers.  The reason they brought Goodson over was because the Raiders were not confident with Jones being the guy behind McFadden.  Goodson got virtually no work last year behind DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart which means he has fresh legs.  The last time he really had a chance was in 2010 when he had to step in due to injuries and posted back to back 100 yard rushing games.  Goodson should be targeted if you grab McFadden as he has proven he can be counted on as a good replacement player.

Fred Jackson – CJ Spiller

This duo may be the pure definition of a handcuff.  Fred Jackson was the man last year until he got injured and then Spiller stepped in week 12 and was quite impressive himself.  Jackson should get the starting job back this season but he is going to get spelled by Spiller more than he was last year.  If either one of these guys goes down the value of the other player is going to skyrocket.  With the emergence of Spiller at the end of last season it is conceivable that fantasy owners are not going to go after Fred Jackson all that high.  If you are able to wait to grab him as you RB2 you may want to spend your next pick on Spiller and then you have the insurance for Jackson as well as a player that should put up some points for you each week.

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2012 Fantasy Football: Under the Radar Rookies

Here is a look at some rookies that have a decent chance to emerge as fantasy football contributors at some point in the 2012 NFL season. Too often owners will overdraft players selected in the first round then forget about rookies taken a little bit later that might have fallen into a better situations. Every year we have found a few diamonds in the rough and below is a list of some of the players to keep an eye on this preseason and training camp as we think these guys have some upside this season.

Coby Fleener IND | TE

The Colts loved the fact that the top TE in this year’s draft fell to them in the second round. One really nice fact is that Fleener was the favorite target of their new young QB Andrew Luck at Stanford. One must think that Fleener will once again be one of his favorite targets this season and therefore he should have some fantasy value. We like him as a deeper league grab as he does have the upside and should get plenty of run as the starting Tight End for the Colts this season.

Alshon Jeffery CHI | WR

Jeffery is going to a great situation and if he does start we love his upside. Since Marshall is reuniting with Cutler whoever is the number two for the Bears figures to see single coverage all year long. There is a good chance that Jeffery will win that job. Last season in college Jeffery certainly had a down year but his 88 catches and over 1500 receiving yards his sophomore season does prove he can be that deep threat opposite Marshall. He is a last round flier that could certainly pan out this season.

David Wilson NYG | RB

The defending champions took Wilson with the last pick in the first round. At Virginia Tech Wilson was a beast rushing for over 1700 yards junior year before entering the draft but he is going to a tough situation with the G-Men. He is a very similar back to Bradshaw and at best I think he will be splitting carries this season. Unless we hear otherwise this training camp and preseason we say to stay away from Wilson unless he is one of your last picks.

Vick Ballard IND | RB

Ballard was taken with the 170th overall pick but there is a legit chance he could win a starting job for the Colts at some point this season. At Mississippi State Ballard rushed for roughly 1200 yards and since Addai has left for the Patriots the starting job is up for grabs. We are not saying Ballard is a lock to start but he is someone to keep an eye on and he is someone that you can get with your last pick that has upside.

Ronnie Hillman DEN | RB

Hillman is slowly becoming our DeMarco Murray of 2012 – we love him and are not in love with the incumbent starter on the team he was drafted. McGahee is getting older and older and the 5’9’’ Hillman is type of player Manning will love. He has great speed and great hands making him a perfect back for Mr. Manning. Calling it now Hillman will be a ppr stud and a great player to take later in your draft.

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