Tim Tebow’s Next Step

With the Peyton Manning free agency debacle over and done with we can all go back to focusing on other sports that are actually still running. The NBA is getting near playoff time and so is the NHL, and both leagues are offering exciting action night in and night out. However, just when you thought you were done hearing about the NFL for a while, a story line emerges: What’s to happen with Tebow?

Last season everyone across the country, fan or hater, became a follower of Tim Tebow. A two-time National Championship winner (and Heisman Winner) during his collegiate days with Florida, Tebow was one of the most scrutinized NFL prospects of this generation, often because of his unorthodox style of play. Scouts liked to point out his poor throwing mechanics and lack of experience in a pro-style offense, but despite these things, Tebow was just as unworldly as his time with Florida. His plethora of awards speak for themselves and Tebow’s play last season (which was just his second as a pro) only took his legend status to a new level. The phenomenon surrounding the man has already been documented extensively so I will not retell his tale, but in short, he had a season that should have guaranteed him a shot at being the franchise quarterback. Scouts, experts and whoever the hell else wants to throw in their opinion can argue with me all day about the guys inability to do damage through the air, or his lack of field vision which results in poor throws at times, but you can’t argue the guys heart or his dedication to peak physical conditioning. In all my years of watching pro sports I’ve never seen a player invest more into winning than Tim Tebow. For instance, how many other Quarterbacks in the league will run the ball 20+ times in a game, knowingly risking injury on many of those carries? The answer is near zero, because no one else plays like Tebow. It’s hard to accept that his style of play is effective, but it is just that.

At the end of last season The Denver Bronco’s VP John Elway said Tebow would be the team’s starter heading into training camp, but quite frankly he lied to all of us. It’s fine to lie to reporters and to the media, but this lie seemed like one that was aimed at Tim Tebow himself. It makes me question the character of Elway, a QB I always respected for his guts and determination when he was driving the Broncos to championships in the 90’s. However after this whole ordeal, it’s hard to not feel a bit let down that the Denver organization would abandon such a promising starter for instant satisfaction; despite the fact that the replacement may be the greatest to ever play the position. I understand that Denver wants to win championships, but who’s to say Tebow couldn’t have gotten them there? In just his first season as starter he led the team to a gutsy playoff win over a Pittsburgh team that many believed had championship hopes. Tebow may not make the game look pretty, but he gets results and he gets wins; that’s the bottom line. The signing of Peyton Manning is sure to improve Denver in the short term, but try to remember that Manning is getting older and he’s coming off some extensive surgical work which, rightfully so, has everyone wondering if he’s still the real Peyton Manning or if he is just willing himself to play. Peyton is my favorite player of all-time, and it pained me to see him leave Indy, but it almost pained me as much to hear that he was going to end the Tebow show before it even really had a chance to work.

It would be a great storyline if Tebow can find another team, but that seems uncertain because of the type of player he is. Teams seem unwilling to commit to Tebow, much like the Broncos were heading into last season…and look where he took that very mediocre team. A lot of that success can be directly attributed to how much of a match-up nightmare Tebow is, being one of the hardest players to account for because of his speed and strength. His ability to hit like a tough running back makes him a problem to bring down and because he runs options, pitches and draws so often the throwing game is often open for big play possibilities (take a look at his performance against the Steelers in the playoffs; that’s Tebow at his finest). I for one hope Tebow finds a new suitor and gets a chance to prove that he can be a full time starter in this league, because critics will always be around trying to dispel players for not fitting into the norm. Tebow is far from the norm, but he is very effective and very smart, and he will be an important player (if even just for “trick” plays) for whatever team is lucky enough to sign him.

What is Tebow’s Trade Value? Would You Want Him As Your Starter? Thoughts?

Where Should Manning Go?

Peyton Manning could go to virtually any team in the NFL, but the contenders have been narrowed down to just a few squads.  After the Jets resigned Mark Sanchez and the Redskins traded for the Rams 2nd pick, the major destinations left for Manning to go to are Miami, Arizona, Denver, Seattle and Kansas City.

Which team is the most fitting?

Miami Dolphins – Miami certainly has the pieces in place to win.  Their defense finished 15th in yards per game allowed last year, and they proved to be resilient even with Matt Moore as their quarterback.  Brandon Marshall is a big target that Manning could focus on, and Reggie Bush flying out of the backfield gives him the check-down option he loves so much.  The problem is it just doesn’t feel right.  Miami, as a city, doesn’t seem to have the low-key sense of community Peyton truly loved in Indianapolis.  Also, he’ll be entering a division where he’ll have to face the Patriots and Jets twice a year, something that nobody wants.  Still, Miami is the favorite, I just don’t think it’s the best destination.

Denver Broncos – Denver might just seem like the most fitting team for Peyton at a glance, it’s a tight-knit community dedicated to football.  They made the playoffs last year, mostly due to strengths other than their quarterback, he’d be a semi-god there.  The problem is it’s a running team that would have to change philosophies more than any other team in the Manning race, and the Tebow factor just gives it a weird vibe.  I cant see him ending up here in the end.

Seattle Seahawks -  A relatively unlikely destination for Manning, but has appeal.  They have a young team with an excellent defense.  Their fan-base and crowd is debatably the largest in the country, and he’d be entering a weak division.  Seattle has no quarterback at all right now, which would leave out the complications other teams have with Manning and their future at the position.  However, Seattle just resigned Marshawn Lynch and might want to look for a young quarterback to lead them in the future.

Kansas City Chiefs – The most interesting of all potential destinations.  KC was never really a big part of the discussion for Manning, but recently have become a part of the talks.  They have a solid defense, good running backs and a notoriously loyal crowd.  The city has the Midwest feel Peyton loves.  The problem is that last year was a mess for the Chiefs, and new coach Romeo Crenell might not instill the confidence Peyton needs to commit to a new team.

Arizona Cardinals – I believe Arizona to be the best destination for Manning to go to.  They have the best receiving core of the potential landing spots for Manning, they won 7 of their last 9 last year.  Kurt Warner came to Arizona late in his career and experienced enormous success.  It’s a comfortable living scenario, and most importantly, coach Ken Whisenhunt has a twisted enough football mind to understand and embrace Manning’s unique play-calling.  Whisenhunt’s creativity is part of the reason Warner succeeded, and could be a major factor for Manning, and any scenario where Peyton gets to throw to Larry Fitzgerald is a win for fans all over.

Jim Caldwell’s Departure

Jim Caldwell had the worst employee experience possible.  He tasted success, only to end up with a fate that’s the polar opposite.  Caldwell, in his first year as coach of the Indianapolis Colts, reached the Super Bowl.  Indianapolis fell to a Saints team with a mandate from above to reinvigorate their reeling city with a championship.  In Caldwell’s second season, as most of you know, his superstar quarterback Peyton Manning was injured before ever playing a game.  Not only were unsure fantasy football owners disappointed, but the Colts higher ups were as well.  After a 2-14 season, Caldwell was fired.  To understand the circumstances surrounding the situation one must first understand that Jim Caldwell was never the coach of the Indianapolis Colts, Peyton Manning was.  Caldwell was simply a trusted peer of Manning’s who gave him advice.  When the Colts hired Caldwell, they knew whom they were trusting with the play calling and decision making.  He was a figurehead coach who was about to be put in a very real and tumultuous coaching position.

There is no doubt the Colts will select Andrew Luck with the #1 pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.  Reports still surface that the Colts would think about Robert Griffith III, but they are fleeting attempts at keeping us on the edge of our seats.  At this point, there is a serious and grave concern that Peyton Manning could never play football again.  Nobody wants that, but for Manning and the Colts, avoiding the scenario is no help.  At this point, if Manning is healthy, the Colts will decide to pay him the $28 million for his contract, or trade him to a team desperate to win immediately.  Peyton, at least to me, appears sentimental.  He values old-fashioned ideals.  It’s clear in the way he carries himself.  I believe he’d like to finish his career in Indianapolis, but that there is a serious doubt not only that the Colts will keep Manning, but that he’ll play football again.  If you’re a fan of the game, you’re rooting for Manning to return to the Colts for at least another year, even if it’s only to mentor the immensely talented Luck. The problem that arose today was equally as inevitable as the Colts’ decision on Peyton.  Jim Caldwell simply got lost in a scenario and argument leagues above his pay-grade.  The days of season-after-season dominance are done for Indianapolis, and the original hiring of Caldwell was in anticipation of clear coasting on the heels of a healthy Manning.  The firing of Caldwell is controversial on the surface, but easy to understand.  It wasn’t right or wrong, simply necessary in an uncertain and new generation of Indianapolis Colts.

Andrew Luck: Is He Real? (And The Top Young QB’s in The NFL)

All the talk has been about Andrew Luck heading into this year’s draft. There hasn’t been this much pre-draft hype about a quarterback prospect since the league ushered in Peyton Manning in 1998, who ironically may play a huge role in the fate of the Collegiate Standout. With The Colts clinching the #1 overall pick last week (I know it just doesn’t have the same ring as clinching the division title would) rumors intensified regarding who the pick would be used on. Despite the fact that throughout the year nearly everyone’s heard countless stories that he must be picked first, he’s going to be a generational star and that Indy must choose him should they get the pick even though they may not need him until years to come. I fully agree that he’s the best prospect out there, and my opinion was only solidified after watching Andrew Luck (of course I’m talking about him) pick apart The Oklahoma State defense in The Fiesta Bowl just one night ago. Even though Oklahoma State ended up winning the game, Luck put on a show out there going 27-31 for 347 Yds and 2 TDs. He really only made one bad throw which resulted in a costly interception but you can hardly fault him when his team’s defense gave up 41 points. Overall, I think Luck is a good quarterback prospect, but is he really the next Peyton Manning? Will Andrew Luck be a good fantasy football pick for next year? That’s a tough call to make before the guys even lined up behind center in the NFL, but if any one college quarterback from this draft will ascend to such a height it will undoubtedly be Andrew Luck.

On the topic of young quarterbacks I’m going to take a look at the top young quarterbacks in The NFL heading into next season.

5. Colt McCoy, Cleveland Browns – Will Colt McCoy be a good fantasy football pick next year? Playing for a team that hasn’t been relevant for years McCoy is faced with the hardest path to success out of anyone on this list. Although he showed promise in his rookie season in 2010 throwing 14 TDs to only 11 INTs his 2011 campaign was a step in the wrong direction for him. Playing only 8 games and suffering a dangerous concussion from the hands of James Harrison, I’m interested to see how he’ll recover after this setback. McCoy showed us brilliance in the passing game in college and I’m hoping (along with all Cleveland Brown’s fans) he can get back to that level next season and prove all his doubters wrong.

4. Sam Bradford, St.Louis Rams – Will Sam Bradford be a good fantasy football pick next year? Bradford is another guy who took a step back this season due to injuries and a lack of personal around him. Bradford is also burdened with being a number one overall draft pick, so expectations are through the roof for The Oklahoma standout and like McCoy in his rookie season he showed a lot of promise throwing 18 TDs to only 15 INTs. Yet this season he played only 10 games and could never get on a roll offensively, it was tough to watch. A player as talented as Bradford is due for a breakout next year and I’m confident drafting him in Fantasy will pay huge rewards. He wants to prove himself to the league, he has the vision it takes to be great and that’s why 2012 will be the coming out party for Sam Bradford.

3.Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Will Josh Freeman be a good fantasy football pick next year? Freeman is both a gifted quarterback and a gifted athlete, His 6-6 stature is ideal for the QB position and in 2010 he dazzled with a 25 TD and 6 INT season, or in other words a highly effective year that put Freeman on everyone’s radar. However he failed to live up to the hype this year and ended up throwing 22 INTs (2nd in the NFL) paired with only 16 TDs, numbers which are just unacceptable from any starter especially one as capable as this guy. Although The Bucs aren’t the most talented offensive bunch I think if Freeman gets his act together and performs like he can The Bucs have a chance in 2012. If you want to take a gamble on a high risk high reward type guy draft Freeman and expect him to light up the scoreboard for your fantasy squad.

2. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – Will Cam Newton be a good fantasy football pick next year? Newton jumped onto the scene in 2011 and amazed us all with his well-rounded game. His ability to throw the ball was impressive enough (21 TDs), when you factor in that he had 14 rushing TDs and broke the rookie record for overall TDs you start to understand how special Cam can be. His uncanny ability to get out of the pocket and throw on the run was also a great sign for a young QB as it gives receivers time to get open and when coverages break down Cam has the arm to make defenses pay with a big play. Newton was also a welcome gift to wide-out Steve Smith who enjoyed a huge year with 80 catches and 1,400 yards after struggling in previous seasons due to lack of a consistent starting QB. I expect Cam to do more of the same next year and be a top 10 fantasy player in his sophomore campaign, draft him and watch as he becomes an elite player and a game changing talent in the NFL.

1. Mathew Stafford, Detroit Lions – Will Mathew Stafford be a good fantasy football pick next year? Although Stafford undoubtedly has the best core of talent around him it’s hard to ignore the numbers he put up this year. He threw for 41 TDs (3rd in the NFL) and only 16 INTs. His 97.2 passer rating was good for 5th in the NFL and shows how well he’s managing his position. I rank him ahead of Newton because after all the position is a throwing position and although Stafford is a strictly pocket passer that’s what wins games in today’s NFL. QB’s who frequently try to run the ball have a knack for getting injured; I for one want my franchise QB nice and comfortable behind the offensive line hitting receivers for big gains. Stafford is my number one young QB and in 2012 I look for him to only improve, and to improve his chemistry with Calvin Johnson even more (If that’s even possible). It wouldn’t surprise me to see Stafford finishing the year as a top 5 QB next year or in the very near future, draft him with confidence as he is sure to have a big big year.

Honorable Mention:

Robert Griffin III – Will Robert Griffin III be a good fantasy football pick next year? An athletic specimen, the guy is ranked higher than Andrew Luck on some experts pre-draft rankings. He plays a lot like Michael Vick in the sense that he sometimes gets run happy which has many worried about how durable he can be. However the Heisman Winner put up huge numbers this season at Baylor University and his stock should only rise after scouts get to see him at the combine. In Fantasy I’d suggest drafting him since he probably won’t be that sought after and you can get him cheap. If he plays like he’s capable of you’ll be very happy you drafted him.

Think these are the best 5 QB prospects too? Who did I leave out? Let me know!

-Glen G

WHO NOT TO DRAFT FOR NEXT FANTASY FOOTBALL SEASON

Mark Sanchez.  No teaser.  No suspense.  No chance for redemption.  Mark Sanchez may have thrown for 26 touchdowns, rushed for 6 touchdowns, and thrown for just about 3500 yards.  Not the best of all but sounds like a solid fantasy quarterback, right, 32 total touchdowns. Wrong.  Dead Wrong.  Under no circumstances should any fantasy owner draft him if winning in on the fantasy agenda.

Sanchez is not talentless but he is a victim of two things.  The Jets inability to protect him and the circumstances of playing for the New York Jets.  The New York Jets play in the largest media market in the world so there is constant scrutiny no matter what athlete, no matter what the sport.  Add that fact with the fact that the Jets are the most Championship starved organization in the NFL and the metro New York sports area, not too mention the quarterback position is the face of a franchise.  All things considered, Sanchez is probably playing the most scrutinized on field position in all of sports, the starting Quarterback to the New York Jets.  Yes the New York Giants starting quarterback role may carry a similar heavy crown, but the Giants have won Championships, very recently, and the current quarterback was the captain of the Giant ship that derailed the undefeated Patriots so he get a small cushion.  The New York Jets haven’t been to or won the Superbowl in over 40 years.  The Jets have only one trip, and one win at the Superbowl.

Mark Sanchez will likely be benched.  Yes.  Benched.   The New york Jets organization is not interested in 8 and 8 seasons.  Woody Johnson, the Jets Owner, doesn’t care about going to the playoffs or back to back trips to the AFC championship game.  The agenda of the organization is as follows: WIN A SUPERBOWL, WIN IT NOW, WIN AT ALL COSTS.  With such agenda in place it is not mystery that the cost may a hefty one, to pay Peyton Manning to come to New York as a Jet.  What could be more appropriate?  By losing yesterday the Colts won the Andrew Luck Sweepstakes and the Colts organization has been somewhat vocal about not being able to afford Peyton Manning’s 28 million dollar contract if he is on roster next NFL season.  Peyton Manning moving to the Jets would also bring the controversey of both of the Manning brothers playing on the same home field.  Eli as a Giant and Peyton as a Jet.  Possibly setting the stage for a Manning vs Manning all New York Superbowl in 2014 when the Superbowl will be held in Met Life Stadium, the home field of both the Jets and Giants.

All things considered Mark Sanchez probably won’t start next season.  Yes it is early but don’t let the numbers fool you, don’t Draft Mark Sanchez.