One Hit Wonders: The Matt Flynn Discussion

Entering this off-season all the talk regarding free agency was about where young Green Bay Quarterback Matt Flynn would end up. Of course this was before Peyton Manning entered that same market; then everybody forgot what they were talking about and focused on the “elephant in the room.” Despite Manning now being the top target for any team wishing to acquire a Quarterback, the interest for Flynn still remains high in this years QB-thin free agency class. Coming across a good quarterback is something many teams struggle with and rightfully so, as many top prospects at the position simply fail to pan out. However, unlike other positions where the failures are less glaring, a bad quarterback simply radiates disappointment. This is primarily because the position controls the game and poor decisions from the team’s leader often result in losses. The quarterback position in itself is one of, if not the toughest in all of sports, all the blame (and glory) is placed in the hands of one player.

Across any other team sport it’s difficult to find another position which shoulders as much responsibility for their team’s success. That being said a good quarterback can often be credited as a franchise hero. Just take a look at Eli Manning and his success story, the guy went from being cast as a waste of a pick (if you remember the Giants could have kept Phillip Rivers as their guy) to an icon in under a year. Manning’s inspired play in the 07’ playoffs endeared him to fans and begun a legacy that was only further cemented during this year’s impressive Super Bowl run. It just goes to show that in today’s sports culture players are remembered for what they’ve done recently, not for their struggles of the past.

The Matt Flynn situation is interesting for many reasons. For one we don’t have a large scope of work to look at when evaluating the guy considering he’s started only a handful of games his whole career. Although in his college days he led LSU to a National Championship and performed very highly in doing so, his NFL resume is extremely thin. He did have a career game last year against the capable Detroit Lions, going for 480 Yards and 6 touchdowns with only 1 Interception, but that’s just one game. It’s easy to get excited about a good performance, but it’s naive to let that one sample deem the product effective. Flynn is for the most part largely untested despite a testimony from fellow Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers, in which he essentially said Flynn is a top-15 Quarterback in this league. If Rodgers is correct in his judgment, and he may well be wrong, then Flynn is a very valuable asset for whatever team he lands with.

However, what if Matt Flynn is just another Kevin Kolb, a guy who was hyped to death after playing a few good games? I find it interesting that teams are so willing to take a gamble on this kid when the failure rate of Quarterbacks in this league is as high as it is. Teams wishing to sign Flynn will undoubtedly have to offer him some guaranteed money along with a multi-year deal, meaning you’re stuck with him whether he performs good or bad. I’m sure a desperate team will come along offering an inflated contract, but I’m just not sold on Flynn just yet. His lone performance last year came against a Lion’s defense that got lit up at times (like when Drew Brees made it look like a Saints practice in the Divisional Round), and also came with Flynn directing a very capable offense in Green Bay. One thing that must be said though is that Green Bay had nothing on the line in that game while the Lions had seed positioning to fight for, meaning their team hypothetically should have been playing at a higher level, yet Flynn was able to drive his team to victory (45-41) amidst his impressive individual game.

The whole situation around Flynn shows that people, and NFL teams alike, tend to “prisoners of the moment” and don’t take everything into account when making decisions. I mean a few weeks ago all the buzz in the sports community was about Jeremy Lin, a guy who in the broader view of the NBA merely had a few good games (albeit they were damn impressive). It’s in our nature to let the moment get the best of us and to let hype take over, but that doesn’t mean we chuck logic and rational thinking out the window. Any team considering signing Matt Flynn to a long term deal should do so because they believe he has the build (he is 6-2, 225 Lbs, which is identical to Aaron Rodgers ironically) and game to lead them to Championships. Any team that is pursuing Flynn to appease fans lust for a quality Quarterback and is doing so based off his one good game last season may be in store for some tough times. If you throw that game out the window this guy has done nothing, and I mean nothing, in his four year career. This may be primarily because he was playing behind MVP Aaron Rodgers or because he was not good enough; this season we are sure to find out.

One last irony remains though and that’s the storyline of Flynn and Rodgers. Rodgers was stuck in a similar position early in his career sitting behind future Hall of Famer Brett Favre, and had to wait for his fourth season until he got the chance to play. Flynn is going into his fifth season and is now getting a chance to finally play, the only difference is that Rodgers was a top pick (selected 24th overall in 2005) while Flynn was a 7th rounder in the 08’ draft, indicating his potential was not seen as high. All that could change though if Flynn can prove himself, and he’ll certainly get his chance with his new team. The draft isn’t always right. Hey, Tom Brady was selected late in the 6th round, and from what I can gather, that guy’s a little better (just a little) than a 6th round pick…perhaps Matt Flynn is too.

Would You Pursue Flynn If You Were A GM? How Good Will He Be? Any Thoughts or Questions Let Me Hear Em!

Super Bowl XLVI Afterthoughts

We all saw what happened last night in Super Bowl XLVI (46), and it was one New York fans will remember forever. This one was special, possibly even more so than the ’07 triumph over the New England Patriots. This team that defeated New England had a dominant feel to them; quite frankly they looked poised to win this game and appeared to be in the driver’s seat throughout. A team that in their final six games conceded no more than 20 points (which they conceded to the mighty Green Bay Offense) en route to winning all of those contests. Their run of beating the Packers, 49ers and Patriots was extremely impressive. It was the epitome of a team effort with both the defense and offense making “Super” plays to win games.

The reason I believe this win is more special for Giants fans is that it cements the legacy of Eli Manning as well as Coach Tom Coughlin. Believe it or not only eleven Quarterbacks have won multiple Super Bowls, and Eli, only 31 years old, isn’t done yet. This season as a whole showed that Manning is now undoubtedly a top-flight quarterback who can win games on his own while at the same time pairing Coach Coughlin and Manning together  as one of the most impressive Quarterback-Coach tandems in NFL history . Prior to this season Eli was always respected but never seen as a guy who could kill you single-handedly, teams no longer make that mistake when playing against him. In throwing 30 of 40 for 296 yards and 1 touchdown (with an impressive 103.8 QB Rating), Eli also became the fifth QB of all time to win two Super Bowl MVPs, quite an accolade if you ask me. This shows that the man comes to play when it matters most, and that’s what special players do.

The last drive for the Giants started with 3:46 left in the game, trailing by 3 points. It featured a ridiculous catch from Mario Manningham (The Catch 2?) and methodical patience from Eli Manning. It ended with the Giants taking the lead and leaving Tom Brady a mere 57 seconds to score with only 1 timeout remaining. Brady is known for these types of moments, but this Giants defense had way too much pride to let New England take this win from them.

It would all come down to a hail mary with five seconds left in regulation that was unbelievably almost in range for tight end Rob Gronkowski to grab, but it hit the turf and that was all. It was a very surreal moment, but extremely fitting in a well fought game. It certainly wasn’t easy, and it hasn’t been all year, but the Giants finally put to rest all doubts that they are not a perennial threat to go all the way. Congratulations to the 2012 Super Bowl Champion New York Giants!

Will The Giants Repeat Next Season? What a Game Right? Let Me know what your thinking!

The Best Fantasy Option at Running Back Super Bowl Sunday is Brandon Jacobs

The New York Football Giants will square off this Sunday with the New England Patriots, in a rematch of Superbowl XLII.  The biggest difference this time around is the fact that the Patriots defense is not nearly as potent as they were a few short seasons ago.  There is no more Teddy Bruschi, he retired.  There is no more Junior Seau, he also retired.  There is no more Mike Vrabel, who in the 2007 season leading up to Superbowl XLII, was NFL First Team All-Pro.  Mike Vrabel had since moved on to Kansas City, and is also retired.  All of these retired linebackers, the fact that the Patriots rely on their offense to win games and no dominant defense should make things easy for Brandon Jacobs to have a big Super Bowl, and more importantly a big time fantasy football day.

Brandon Jacobs is a physical beast, the Juggernaut, standing at 6’4″ and tipping the scales at 264 lbs.  Fact is Brandon Jacobs is built more like a dominant defensive end than a typical NFL running back.  Brandon Jacobs is more physically imposing than any of the starting linebackers on the New England Patriots Defense.  Rob Ninkovich, 6’2″, 255 pounds, smaller than Jacobs.  Jerod Mayo, 6’1″ 245 pounds, smaller than Jacobs.  Brandon Spikes, 6’2″, 250 pounds, also smaller than Jacobs.  Even one of the staring defensive ends for the New England Patriots, Mark Anderson, 6’4″, 255 pounds, is smaller than Jacobs.  With Brandon Jacobs down hill running style, who is going to tackle him?  Yes,  the New England Patriots still have Vince Wilfork, 6’2″, 325 pounds, but he is 30 years old, and he can’t match speed with Brandon Jacobs. Wilfork certainly isn’t going to catch any NFL running back once they have passed the line of scrimmage.

Once Brandon Jacobs gets passed the line of scrimmage, who is going to tackle him in the New England Patriots secondary?  Julian Edelman, 5’10″ and 198 pounds, who coach Bill Belichick relied on greatly in the 4th quarter of the AFC championship game, isn’t going to be able to do a thing against a down hill running beast like Jacobs. The bottom line is this; the New England Patriots do not have an answer for a physically imposing animal like Brandon Jacobs.  Jacobs will be in the end zone, the only question is when and how many times.  For a daily fantasy football league there is nobody better playing this Super Bowl Sunday than the Juggernaut, Brandon Jacobs.

Victor Cruz, The Best Damn Receiver Period

Standing at 6’0″ Victor Cruz is small in comparison to most NFL receivers, but his numbers are huge.  Victor Cruz came out of obscurity this season to be a top five NFL fantasy football receiver.  Besides Wes Welker, who only had 33 more yards receiving and the same amount of receiving touchdowns, only the 6’5″ Megatron Calvin Johnson put up more yards and touchdowns than Cruz.

Victor Cruz is only improving. This was his first season playing in the NFL so pretty much as a rookie Cruz broke the 1,500 yard receiving yard mark, 1,536 yards to be exact, and caught 9 touchdowns.  Those are all-pro type numbers.  Not too bad for a guy who was on the New York Giants practice squad just a year ago.  In his first season playing with the New York Football Giants Cruz averaged just under 19 yards per reception, leading the league (minimum 50 receptions), and averaged 96 receiving yards per game.  Victor Cruz also made NFL history tying the longest reception record with a 99 yard touchdown catch against the New York Jets and Revis Island.

Victor Cruz has been money this post season.  Against the NFC’s top ranked San Francisco 49ers defense Cruz had 10 receptions for 142 yards.  True, this post season he hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, mostly because once he brings the Giants to the red zone they double him and jam him so much it frees up the other receivers and tight ends.  For example, Bear Pascoe hadn’t scored any touchdowns all season, but he scored in the NFC championship game.  Victor Cruz demands attention every play.  In the Super Bowl look for Victor Cruz to once again break the 100 yard mark and score a touchdown, especially against the suspect secondary of the New England Patriots.  Victor Cruz is the best damn receiver left in the post season and fantasy football period.

Eli Manning is The Fantasy Football Super Pick

The New York Football Giants will face off against the New England Patriots in a Super Bowl rematch from a few short years ago.  Very similar to the 2008 Super Bowl ,the Giants have been playing good football at just the right time of the season.  Very similar to the last Giants Super Bowl run, Head Coach Tom Coughlin was rumored to be on the verge of being fired.  It is evident that the New York Football Giants play their very best football when their backs are against the wall and all the chips are down.  The biggest difference this time around is Eli Manning.

Eli Manning has always been a clutch performer, and has always excelled under extreme pressure.  But this season he has really cemented his spot amongst the elite quarterbacks of all time.  Eli Manning threw for just a shade under five thousand yards in the regular season, 4,933 yards to be exact, while completing over 61% of his passes.   Eli threw 29 touchdowns and only 16 interceptions, 3 of which came in one bad game against the division rival Washington Redskins.  His rating this season was 92.9.  Those regular season numbers are numbers any coach, general manager or any fantasy football owner would love.

Eli Manning had 5 fourth quarter comebacks this season tied for the most in the league, and only 2 fewer than the most ever in a season which was 7 by his older brother Peyton in 2009.  Eli’s fourth quarter QB rating this season was 110, but that still isn’t the best part.  This post season Eli Manning has thrown for 923 yards in three games, winning all three, while throwing 8 touchdowns and only turning the ball over once. Yes, only one interception and no lost fumbles.  In the NFC championship game against the San Francisco 49ers, the top rated NFC defense allowing the fewest points per game (14) and the fewest yards per game (308), Eli threw for 316 yards and 2 touchdowns and most importantly he won the game!  Tom Brady is Tom Brady, but he is up against the Giant big blue defense and the New England Patriots defense is suspect to say the least.  Eli Manning is the Fantasy Football Super Pick.